Quick Comparison

CT-388Orforglipron
Half-LifeApproximately 168 hours (7 days), supporting once-weekly dosingApproximately 29-49 hours, supporting once-daily oral dosing
Typical DosagePhase 2 trials: doses up to 8 mg subcutaneous once weekly with stepwise escalation over 12-16 weeks. Phase 3 maintenance dosing being established. Higher and lower dose arms are being evaluated to balance weight loss against tolerability.Phase 3 trials: 3 mg oral once daily as the starting dose, escalated every 4 weeks to maintenance doses of 12, 24, or 36 mg once daily. Can be taken at any time of day, with or without food and water — a significant practical advantage over Rybelsus.
AdministrationSubcutaneous injection (once weekly)Oral (tablet, once daily, no food or water restrictions)
Research Papers2 papers5 papers
Categories

Mechanism of Action

CT-388

CT-388 is a once-weekly subcutaneous dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist, mechanistically similar to tirzepatide but with a distinct molecular structure designed for differentiated pharmacology. Activation of both receptors produces complementary metabolic effects: GLP-1 receptor agonism centrally suppresses appetite through hypothalamic and brainstem signalling, slows gastric emptying, and stimulates glucose-dependent insulin secretion from pancreatic beta cells, while GIP receptor agonism enhances beta-cell insulin response, modulates lipid handling in adipose tissue, and amplifies the central anorectic effect of GLP-1 through distinct hypothalamic neuronal circuits.

The molecule was engineered with a balanced potency profile across the two receptors and incorporates fatty acid acylation that enables strong albumin binding, extending half-life to approximately one week. This pharmacokinetic profile supports once-weekly subcutaneous dosing with stable plasma exposure across the dosing interval, which is associated with better gastrointestinal tolerability than less stable formulations that produce sharp peaks and troughs.

In the Phase 2 obesity trial of 469 participants, CT-388 produced up to 22.5% placebo-adjusted body weight reduction at 48 weeks at the highest dose. The weight-loss curve had not yet plateaued at the end of the trial, suggesting further reductions might be achievable with longer dosing. Roche acquired Carmot Therapeutics in late 2024 specifically to obtain CT-388, positioning it as their lead anti-obesity asset competing directly against tirzepatide and the next-generation Lilly and Novo Nordisk pipeline.

Orforglipron

Orforglipron is a non-peptide small molecule that activates the GLP-1 receptor through binding outside the orthosteric peptide-binding pocket — a true biased GLP-1 receptor agonist rather than a structural mimic of native GLP-1. Because it is a small molecule rather than a peptide, it is not destroyed by gastric acid or proteolytic enzymes in the gut, which is why it can be taken orally without the strict fasting and water-restriction requirements that limit semaglutide's oral formulation (Rybelsus).

Receptor activation triggers the same downstream signalling cascades as injectable GLP-1 agonists: stimulation of glucose-dependent insulin secretion from pancreatic beta cells, suppression of glucagon release from alpha cells, slowing of gastric emptying, and central appetite suppression through hypothalamic and brainstem GLP-1 receptors. Importantly, orforglipron's biased agonism profile favours G-protein signalling over beta-arrestin recruitment, which preclinical data suggests may reduce receptor desensitisation over chronic dosing.

The pharmacokinetic profile gives it a half-life of roughly 29-49 hours, comfortably supporting once-daily oral dosing with stable plasma concentrations. In Phase 2 obesity trials, orforglipron produced approximately 14.7% mean body weight reduction at 36 weeks at the highest dose tested. Phase 3 results in 2026 (ACHIEVE-1 for type 2 diabetes, ATTAIN-1 and ATTAIN-2 for obesity) have positioned it as the leading candidate to be the first true oral GLP-1 with weight-loss efficacy approaching that of weekly injectables, removing one of the main barriers to GLP-1 therapy adoption.

Risks & Safety

CT-388

Common

nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, constipation, decreased appetite, injection site reactions. Side-effect rates in Phase 2 were comparable to tirzepatide.

Serious

pancreatitis, gallstones, possible muscle mass loss, dehydration.

Rare

thyroid C-cell tumour class warning, severe allergic reactions. Long-term safety data not yet available.

Orforglipron

Common

nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, constipation, dyspepsia. Side-effect frequency in Phase 3 has been comparable to injectable GLP-1 agonists.

Serious

pancreatitis, gallstones, dehydration.

Rare

thyroid C-cell tumour signal as a class warning, severe allergic reactions. Long-term safety still being characterised.

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